Energy Independence from Declining Oil Production in Lower 48 States? Not Likely30 Mar

President Obama has repeatedly stressed the need for energy independence, and, in particular, a reduction in imported oil. How is that possible given the constantly declining oil production curve illustrated below for the lower 48 states?

Peak production was reached in 1970.





The United States has a total of 254,212,610 registered highway vehicles in 2009. How can that many vehicles be powered from domestic crude based on this declining production curve?

Note: There are 11 government agencies that support the Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) and Small Business Technology Transfer (STTR) programs. Solicitations from these agencies are published several times during the year and contain dozens of problem topics. For example, many topics from the Department of Defense (DOD) and the Department of Energy (DOE) have a keen interest in energy efficiency and renewable energy, some of which may overlap the issues raised in this post. Small businesses, sometimes teamed with universities, may submit proposals in response to these topics and possibly receive awards for technology/process development.

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5 Responses to “Energy Independence from Declining Oil Production in Lower 48 States? Not Likely”

  1. renewable energy Reply

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  2. Escape from Imported Crude Oil Dependency? Political Fiction | JHEverson Consulting Reply

    […] crude oil will be required because U.S. crude oil reserves are all declining. This includes the lower 48-states, the Gulf of Mexico and […]

  3. TV Commercial from the American Petroleum Institute: Disingenuous | JHEverson Consulting Reply

    […] API commercial is disingenuous at best and does not disclose the fact that the lower 48-states, the Gulf of Mexico and Alaska have declining oil productions (i.e., past Peak Oil production). […]

  4. Canadian Tar Sands, Environmental Devistation and You | JHEverson Consulting Reply

    […] gluttonous energy consumption in the United States and (2) declining oil production in the lower 48-states, Gulf of Mexico and […]

  5. U.S. Exceeds Saudi Arabian and Russian Oil Production by 2020? Don’t Bet On It | JHEverson Consulting Reply

    […] “eye balling” these traditional oil reserves out to 2020, we obtain 4 MM b/d (lower 48 states), 0.400 MM b/d (Alaska) and 0.6 MM b/d (Gulf of Mexico) for a total of 5 MM b/d. Adding the tight […]

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About Dr. Everson

Prior to forming this SBIR consultant practice, Dr. Jeffrey Everson was director of business development for QinetiQ North America’s Technology Solutions Group (previously Foster-Miller, Inc.).

Dr. Everson has won and been the principal investigator for several SBIR programs, including a Phase I program for NASA, a Phase I project for the U.S. Air Force, and Phase I and II contracts from the U.S. Department of Transportation. For the Phase II program, he received a Tibbetts Award for exemplifying the best in SBIR achievement.

Previously Dr. Everson held senior scientist positions at Battelle Memorial Institute, The Analytic Sciences Corporation (TASC), Honeywell Electro Optics Systems Division, and Itek Optical Systems Division.

He holds a PhD in physics from Boston College and a MS/BS in physics from Northeastern University.


For more information about how JHEverson Consulting can help your company with its SBIR and STTR proposals, please contact Jeff Everson.

JHEverson Consulting is based in the Boston area but consults for clients throughout North America. It also is supported by affiliated consultants.